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Premier League
Premier League England
11.02.2026 20:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Liverpool

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
0 : 1
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Liverpool February 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.44 / X 3.79 / 2 1.79
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 21.5% / X 25.2% / Liverpool 53.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 21.5%
X 25.2%
2 53.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.02.2026 20:15 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 4.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.56 21.9%
X 3.87 25.8%
1.80 55.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.58 21.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Sunderland
L W L W L
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Sunderland 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
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Sunderland 3:0 BurnleyBurnley
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Sunderland 1:3 West HamWest Ham
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Sunderland 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 BrentfordBrentford
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Liverpool
L W L D D
08.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
31.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 4:1 NyukaslNyukasl
24.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 2:3 BournemouthBournemouth
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
08.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 0:0 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Liverpool

Sunderland
1 matches total
Liverpool
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Liverpool: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 03.12 20:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (03.12 20:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland
1:1
Liverpul