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Premier League
Premier League England
01.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Manchester City

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
0 : 0
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Manchester City January 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.87 / X 4.90 / 2 1.40
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 12.2% / X 19.6% / Manchester City 68.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 12.2%
X 19.5%
2 68.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Under 2.5 43.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 market consensus · line only
X 4.91 market consensus · line only
1 7.89 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 2.96 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.11 12.3%
X 5.03 19.9%
1.40 71.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
8.25 12.1% 8.10 12.4% 8.20 12.2% 7.00 14.3% 7.90 12.7% 8.50 11.8%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.90 20.4% 4.98 20.1% 5.25 19.1% 4.90 20.4% 5.00 20.0%
1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.92 34.3% 3.02 33.1% 3.16 31.7%
Match center
Sunderland
D D W L D
28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LeedsLeeds
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 BrightonBrighton
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Manchester City
W W W W W
27.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 West HamWest Ham
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
02.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 5:4 FulhamFulham
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Manchester City

Sunderland
1 matches total
Manchester City
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 0:3 (06.12 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 06.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland
0:3
Manchester City