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Premier League
Premier League England
14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Newcastle

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
1 : 0
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Sunderland face Newcastle on December 14, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sunderland 1-2-2, Newcastle 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Newcastle the favourite at about 44%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Newcastle December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.54 / X 3.34 / 2 2.15
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 27.0% / X 28.6% / Newcastle 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 27.0%
X 28.6%
2 44.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Market 1 27.0% @ 3.54 / X 28.6% @ 3.34 / 2 44.4% @ 2.15
Match center

Sunderland - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 3.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.58 27.9%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.20 45.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Sunderland
L D W L D
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:1 FulhamFulham
08.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Newcastle
W D W W L
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 BurnleyBurnley
02.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
29.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 4:1 EvertonEverton
22.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 Manchester CityManchester City
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Newcastle

Sunderland
0 matches total
Newcastle
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history