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Premier League England

22.03.2026 14:15 UTC Match prediction

22.03.2026 14:15 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Tottenham - Nottingham Forest

England Football

Stadium Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Referee Michael Oliver

Capacity 62 850

Tottenham

0 : 3

Finished

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham take on Nottingham Forest on March 22, 2026 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tottenham 0-1-4, Nottingham Forest 0-3-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Tottenham at roughly 39%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tottenham — 40%

1 · Tottenham40.5%

X · draw27.7%

2 · Nottingham Forest31.9%

Model estimate: win Tottenham 40.5%, draw 27.7%, win Nottingham Forest 31.9%. Model favourite — Tottenham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Nottingham Forest March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Strongest: Tottenham - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.26 / 2 2.97
1X2 market: Tottenham 38.9% / X 29.1% / Nottingham Forest 32.0%
Glicko: Tottenham 40.5% / X 27.7% / Nottingham Forest 31.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 37.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 38.9%

X 29.1%

2 32.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 47.8%

Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 28.1%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 22.03.2026 14:15 UTC

Market 1 38.9% @ 2.44 / X 29.1% @ 3.26 / 2 32.0% @ 2.97

Stadium Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee Michael Oliver

Capacity 62,850

Chast faktov dobrana iz SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Tottenham 40%

💹 Market Tottenham 3889%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Tottenham - Nottingham Forest

Tottenham: win 2.51 Tottenham: draw 3.40 Nottingham Forest win: 2.99 Obschiy Total goals bolshe 2.5: 2.02 Obschiy Total goals menshe 2.5: 1.88 Individualnyy Total goals Tottenham bolshe 1.5: 2.40 Individualnyy Total goals Tottenham menshe 1.5: 1.61 Individualnyy Total golo…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:3

Events 16

Statistics 24

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

45' 45' Normal Goal | Igor Jesus | assist/sub out: N. Williams Anas Al Ghamdi Nottingham Forest

46' 46' Substitution 1 | M. van de Ven | assist/sub out: D. Udogie Tottenham

46' 46' Substitution 2 | D. Spence | assist/sub out: L. Bergvall Miha Vetrih Tottenham

53' 53' Yellow Card | I. Sangaré Oumar Diakité Nottingham Forest

62' 62' Normal Goal | M. Gibbs-White | assist/sub out: C. Hudson-Odoi William Zhang Nottingham Forest

67' 67' Substitution 3 | M. Tel | assist/sub out: R. Kolo Muani Tottenham

67' 67' Substitution 4 | Richarlison | assist/sub out: X. Simons M. Saliakas Tottenham

70' 70' Substitution 1 | C. Hudson-Odoi | assist/sub out: R. Yates Elias Saad Nottingham Forest

Metric Tottenham Nottingham Forest SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.25 1.34 final

Zablokirovannye udary 6 1 final

Shots off target 5 0 final

Shots on target 3 7 final

Udary vsego 14 8 final

Fouls soversheno 13 13 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final

Offsides 2 0 final

Tottenham #1 G. Vicario, #4 K. Danso, #9 Richarlison, #11 M. Tel, #14 A. Gray, #17 C. Romero, #19 D. Solanke, #23 P. Porro, #24 D. Spence, #29 P. M. Sarr, #37 Micky van de Ven

Nottingham Forest #3 N. Williams, #5 Murillo, #6 I. Sangaré, #7 C. Hudson-Odoi, #8 E. Anderson, #10 Morgan Gibbs-White, #19 Igor Jesus, #21 Omari Hutchinson, #26 M. Sels, #31 N. Milenkovic, #34 O. Aina

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Gray Tottenham football.player.assists 0

A. Gray Tottenham Dribling popytki 3

A. Gray Tottenham Edinoborstva vyigrano 6

A. Gray Tottenham Seyvy 0

A. Gray Tottenham football.player.minutes_played 84

A. Gray Tottenham Tochnost pasov % 1

A. Gray Tottenham Klyuchevye pasy 58

A. Gray Tottenham Reyting (staryy) 6.9

A. Gray Tottenham Shots on target 1

A. Gray Tottenham Bloki 2

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tottenham 38.8% 40.5% market and model agree

Draw 28.8% 27.7% draw risk

Nottingham Forest 32.3% 31.9%

xG - 1.28 : 1.10

Total 2.5 Over 37.5% - Under 62.5%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 40.5% / 27.7% / 31.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,449 / 1,455 Tottenham / Nottingham Forest

RD 73 / 75 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.96 market consensus · no value · model 31.9%

X 3.28 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.45 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%

Double chance

X2 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 59.5%

12 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 72.4%

1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 68.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.36 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 37.5%

Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · value +14.4% · model 62.5%

Both teams to score

No 2.01 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.53 39.5%
X	3.46 28.9%
	2.87 34.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.32 43.1%	2.44 41.0%	2.54 39.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.42 29.2%	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.25 30.8%
	2.98 33.6%	3.05 32.8%	3.04 32.9%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.00 50.0%	2.04 49.0%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.38 72.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%

Match center

Tottenham

Founded 1882

Nottingham Forest

Founded 1865

Match center

Tottenham

BD B. Davies Ankle Injury

RB R. Bentancur Muscle Injury

Nottingham Forest

WB W. Boly Knee Injury

CW C. Wood Lacking Match Fitness

Tottenham Founded: 1882

Nottingham Forest Founded: 1865

Match center

Tottenham

D L L L L

15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:1 Liverpul

05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:3 Kristal Pelas

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:2 Fulham

22.02 16:30 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:4 Arsenal

10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:2 Nyukasl

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.4 Conceded

1 Points

Nottingham Forest

D D L L D

15.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:0 Fulham

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 2:2 Manchester City

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:2 Brighton

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:1 Liverpul

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:0 Wolves

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Nottingham Forest

Tottenham

2 matches total

Nottingham Forest

Tottenham: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Nottingham Forest: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Nottingem Forest 0:3 (14.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 14.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.12 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Tottenkhem

0:3

Nottingem Forest

21.04 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Tottenkhem

1:2

Nottingem Forest

Match center

Season table: unavailable.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.