Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

West Ham - Aston Villa

England Football
West Ham
West Ham
2 : 3
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

West Ham go head-to-head with Aston Villa on December 14, 2025 in the Premier League, England.

Recent form (W-D-L): West Ham 1-3-1, Aston Villa 5-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Aston Villa the favourite at about 45%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction West Ham - Aston Villa December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.52 / X 3.42 / 2 2.14
  • 1X2 market: West Ham 27.3% / X 28.0% / Aston Villa 44.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 27.2%
X 28.0%
2 44.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Market 1 27.2% @ 3.52 / X 28.0% @ 3.42 / 2 44.8% @ 2.14
Match center

West Ham - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.42 market consensus · line only
1 3.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.04 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.61 27.7%
X 3.42 29.2%
2.18 45.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.14 46.7% 2.14 46.7% 2.18 45.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
Match center
West Ham
D D L D W
07.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 BrightonBrighton
04.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 LiverpulLiverpul
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
08.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 3:2 BurnleyBurnley
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Aston Villa
W W W W W
06.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:3 BrightonBrighton
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 1:0 WolvesWolves
23.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 2:1 LeedsLeeds
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa 4:0 BournemouthBournemouth
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWest Ham - Aston Villa

West Ham
0 matches total
Aston Villa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history