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Premier League
Premier League England
18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Arsenal

England Football
Wolves
Wolves
2 : 2
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Arsenal February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.38 / X 5.60 / 2 1.28
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 8.4% / X 17.0% / Arsenal 74.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 8.4%
X 17.0%
2 74.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 market consensus · line only
X 5.62 market consensus · line only
1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.40 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
11.77 8.5%
X 5.91 16.9%
1.28 78.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3% 11.60 8.6% 10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3%
X 5.40 18.5% 5.80 17.2% 5.95 16.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%
1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 3.60 27.8% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
Match center
Wolves
D L L L D
11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:3 ChelseaChelsea
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 BournemouthBournemouth
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
18.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Arsenal
D W W L D
12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 LeedsLeeds
25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
17.01 17:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Arsenal

Wolves
1 matches total
Arsenal
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Arsenal 1:2 (13.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 13.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Arsenal