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Premier League
Premier League England
08.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Manchester United

England Football
Wolves
Wolves
1 : 4
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Manchester United December 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.30 / X 4.32 / 2 1.60
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 18.1% / X 22.2% / Manchester United 59.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 18.1%
X 22.1%
2 59.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 58.6%
Under 2.5 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 market consensus · line only
X 4.32 market consensus · line only
1 5.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.28 18.9%
X 4.44 22.5%
1.61 62.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
5.40 18.5% 5.20 19.2% 5.53 18.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 5.50 18.2%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.47 22.4% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1%
1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.41 41.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Wolves
L L L L L
03.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
30.11 14:05 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
08.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 ChelseaChelsea
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 FulhamFulham
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Manchester United
D W L D D
04.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:1 West HamWest Ham
30.11 12:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
24.11 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:1 EvertonEverton
08.11 12:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Manchester United

Wolves
1 matches total
Manchester United
Wolves: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Wolves 1:0 (20.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 20.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:0
Manchester United