Premier League
Premier League England
18.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Newcastle

England Futbol
Wolves
Wolves
0 : 0
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Newcastle 18 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.38 / X 3.91 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 21.9% / X 24.4% / Newcastle 53.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 21.8%
X 24.5%
2 53.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 58.4%
Under 2.5 41.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 4.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.97 25.2%
П2 1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.51 22.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.11 24.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
П2 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Wolves
D W D L L
07.01 19:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 EvertonEverton
03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 3:0 West HamWest Ham
30.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 BrentfordBrentford
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Newcastle
W W W L D
07.01 20:15 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 4:3 LeedsLeeds
04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Newcastle

Wolves
2 matches total
Newcastle
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Newcastle: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Nyukasl 0:1 (13.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 15.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
0:1
Nyukasl
15.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Nyukasl