Romania. Cup. Qualification
Progresul Spartac meet Metaloglobus on August 12, 2026 in the Romania. Cup. Qualification.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 23% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Metaloglobus — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Metaloglobus): model 21% · market 57% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Progresul Spartac 23.4%, draw 20.5%, win Metaloglobus 56.0%. Model favourite — Metaloglobus.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Progresul Spartac.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Progresul Spartac: win Progresul Spartac: draw Metaloglobus win: Obschiy Total goals Over : Obschiy Total goals Under : Individualnyy Total goals Progresul Spartac Over : Individualnyy Total goals Progresul Spartac Under : Individualnyy Total goals Metaloglobus bolsh…
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.65 37.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.26 44.3% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 2.00 50.0% | 2.12 47.2% | 1.03 97.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| x2 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.19 45.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 4.05 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Winline | 5 | 4.3 | 1.49 |
| Fonbet | 4.05 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Betcity | 5.1 | 4.6 | 1.46 |
Progresul Spartac
Full head-to-head historyProgresul Spartac - Metaloglobus
The Progresul Spartac - Metaloglobus breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
| 6 | Goal attempts | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Shots blocked | 1 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 6 | Corner kicks | 10 |
| 9 | Free kicks | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 9 | Goal kicks | 8 |
| 15 | Throw-ins | 40 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Yellow/red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Substitutions | 5 |
| 2 | Injuries | 0 |
| 88 | Ball Safe | 100 |
| 60 | Ball Safe | 37 |
| 61 | Attack | 136 |
| 12 | Attack | 27 |
| 40 | Dangerous Attack | 99 |
| 28 | Dangerous Attack | 36 |
| 0 | Penalties | 1 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
By the PropickAI model, Progresul Spartac is favoured — about 56% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Progresul Spartac. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 12, 2026.
