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Romania. Cup. Qualification
Romania. Cup. Qualification
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Romania. Cup. Qualification

Timişul Şag - CSM Reşiţa

Football
T
Timişul Şag
1 : 3
Finished
C
CSM Reşiţa

Timişul Şag go head-to-head with CSM Reşiţa on August 12, 2026 in the Romania. Cup. Qualification.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 22% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 CSM Reşiţa57%

1 · Timişul Şag22.1%
X · draw21.2%
2 · CSM Reşiţa56.7%

Model estimate: win Timişul Şag 22.1%, draw 21.2%, win CSM Reşiţa 56.7%. Model favourite — CSM Reşiţa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2CSM Reşiţa (odds1.71) Score 1:2 confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Reshitsa: probability 52% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Timişul Şag - CSM Reşiţa August 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSM Reşiţa.

Line favourite Fonbet: CSM Reşiţa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.30 / X 6.80 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Timişul Şag 22.1% / X 21.2% / CSM Reşiţa 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 5 books · best price +7.2%
1 19.9%
X 21.3%
2 58.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cupa României
League table
Timişul Şag
#156 ptsGP 32-0-15:5
CSM Reşiţa
#383 ptsGP 11-0-03:1
Best price across 11 books
1 6.43 1xBet
X 4.70 Betano
2 1.52 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Timişul Şag
20%
33.00
Draw
21%
6.80
CSM Reşiţa
59%
1.63
Handicap
Timişul Şag (0)
28%
11.50
CSM Reşiţa (0)
72%
1.29
Total
Over 1.5
45%
2.02
Under 1.5
55%
5.90
Both teams to score
Yes
60%
1.59
No
40%
4.60

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Timişul Şag 2 : 1 CSM Reşiţa
16.43
X4.45
21.39

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Cupa Romaniei 26/27, Qualification

Round 1
Victoria Traian0
ASC Unirea Branistea7
AS Usv Iasi1
Stiinta Miroslava0
ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja0
I. Modelu6
Domnesti3
Unirea Bascov2
Csm Sacele6
ACS Kids Tampa Brasov5
CS Gloria Baneasa1
Dunarea Calarasi3
FC Pucioasa1
Tricolorul B0
Universitatea Alba Iulia3
ACS Cil Blaj4
CS Agigea2
Axiopolis Cernavoda3
Csm Caransebes2
Ghiroda1
Paulesti6
CS Blejoi2
ACS Oltul Curtisoara4
ACS Academica Bals2
Corona Brasov5
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel4
CS Gheorgheni1
Odorheiu Secuiesc0
Csl Hidro Mecanica Sugag 19840
Cugir10
ACS FC Chiesd1
Csm Sighetu Marmatiei4
Academia de Fotbal Bolintin-Vale3
ACS Axi Arena2
CS Bradul Putna9
Csm Bucovina Radauti0
AFC Inter Stars Sibiu0
ACS Medias 20222
Csm Ramnicu Sarat0
Csm Adjud 19463
Electrosid Titu1
ACS Vointa 2024 Crevedia3
CS Crisul Santandrei2
Unirea Tasnad1
Aerostar Bacau3
Csm FC Vaslui1
CS Timisul Sag1
ACS Progresul Pecica0
Unirea Dej1
Acad Viitorul Cluj2
ACS Unirea Dmo0
Petrosani4
CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti1
Asfc Pausesti Otasau2
CS Bihorul Beius0
Lotus Baile Felix1
Csm Targu Jiu3
CS Vulturii Farcasesti2
U Craiova0
Acso Filiasi5
Scm Dunarea Giurgiu3
Alexandria0
FC Petrolul Berca5
Cso Teleajenul Valeni de Munte2
ACS Progresul Mogosoaia3
ACS LPS HD Clinceni0
Plopeni1
Cso Baicoi2
ACS Unirea Santana4
ACS Viitorul Arad0
Progresul Spartac2
ACS Progresul Fundulea0
Round 2
ASC Unirea Branistea2
Liesti4
CS Bradul Putna1
AS Usv Iasi2
Dunarea Calarasi2
I. Modelu0
Domnesti2
Asc Olimpic Zarnesti7
Corona Brasov3
Csm Sacele0
FC Pucioasa0
Csm Flacara Moreni7
ACS Cil Blaj2
ACS Medias 20221
Axiopolis Cernavoda1
Agricola Borcea3
Csm Caransebes4
Minerul L5
Paulesti0
Tunari3
Acso Filiasi7
ACS Oltul Curtisoara8
CS Gheorgheni5
Ceahlaul Piatra0
Cugir0
Petrosani1
Csm Sighetu Marmatiei1
Baia Mare3
Academia de Fotbal Bolintin-Vale1
Progresul Spartac3
Csm Adjud 19462
Targu Secuiesc1
ACS Progresul Mogosoaia3
ACS Vointa 2024 Crevedia0
Lotus Baile Felix3
CS Crisul Santandrei5
Aerostar Bacau0
AFC Viitorul Onesti1
CS Timisul Sag3
ACS Unirea Santana2
Acad Viitorul Cluj1
Scm Zalau6
Asfc Pausesti Otasau0
Csm Targu Jiu2
Scm Dunarea Giurgiu2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele1
FC Petrolul Berca2
Cso Baicoi3
Sanatatea Cluj7
CSM Unirea Alba Iulia6
Round 3
AS Usv Iasi1
Cetatea S0
Dunarea Calarasi0
Afumati3
ACS Cil Blaj1
Sanatatea Cluj0
ACS Oltul Curtisoara0
Slatina3
Corona Brasov3
Asc Olimpic Zarnesti1
CS Gheorgheni0
Targu Mures2
Csm Adjud 19462
Liesti4
CS Crisul Santandrei0
Oradea3
CS Timisul Sag1
Resita3
Petrosani0
Minerul L1
Csm Targu Jiu3
Scm Ramnicu Valcea4
Scm Dunarea Giurgiu0
Csa Steaua Bucuresti3
ACS Progresul Mogosoaia1
Concordia Chiajna4
Cso Baicoi2
Metalul Buzau4
Progresul Spartac2
Metaloglobus1
Tunari2
Csl Stefanestii de Jos1
Csm Flacara Moreni1
Chindia Targoviste2
AFC Viitorul Onesti0
FC Bacau3
Scm Zalau0
CS Gloria Bistrita1
Agricola Borcea1
AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia4
Baia Mare5
Csm Olimpia Satu Mare0
1599 Selimbar3
Hermannstadt0
Popesti Leordeni5
CS Dinamo Bucuresti0
Stinta Poli Timisoara1
Dumbravita0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 13.0% @ 6.30 / X 12.0% @ 6.80 / 2 75.0% @ 1.09
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model CSM Reşiţa 57%
💹 Market CSM Reşiţa 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Timişul Şag - CSM Reşiţa

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Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 56.7% fact: away hit / ROI 63.0% / Brier 0.281 / LogLoss 0.567
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 56.7% fact: away hit / ROI 63.0% / Brier 0.281 / LogLoss 0.567
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Timişul Şag 19.9% 22.1%
Draw 21.3% 21.2% draw risk
CSM Reşiţa 58.8% 56.7% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 22.1% / 21.2% / 56.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,704 / 1,500 Timisul Sag / Resita
RD 249 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,207-2,201 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 56.7%
X 6.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.70 market consensus · no value · model 22.1%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 78.8%
1X 5.60 Fonbet · no value · model 43.3%
X2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 77.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 4.60 21.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.14 87.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.07 93.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
1x 2.05 48.8% 2.16 46.3% 5.60 17.9% 2.14 46.7% 2.14 46.7%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.00 16.7%
X 2.58 38.8%
1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-08-12 · Timisul Sag 1:3 Reshitsa
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6.3 (Pari) · X 4.5 (Pari) · 2 1.64 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 6.3 4.5 1.43
Winline 4.3 4 1.63
Fonbet 6.3 4.5 1.43
Betcity 4.1 4.2 1.62
Liga Stavok 4.3 4 1.64
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Timişul Şag
W W
05.08 14:30 UTC Romania: Cup Rumynii - Qualifying
Timişul Şag 3:2 Santana
29.07 12:30 UTC Romania: Cup Rumynii - Qualifying
Timişul Şag 1:0 Progresul Pechika
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Timişul Şag vs CSM Reşiţa?

By the PropickAI model, CSM Reşiţa is favoured — about 57% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Timişul Şag vs CSM Reşiţa?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to CSM Reşiţa. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Timişul Şag vs CSM Reşiţa start?

August 12, 2026.