AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Cetatea Suceava. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Romania. Cup. Qualification
USV Iaşi go head-to-head with Cetatea Suceava on August 12, 2026 in the Romania. Cup. Qualification.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 18% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Cetatea Suceava — 61%
Model estimate: win USV Iaşi 18.2%, draw 21.3%, win Cetatea Suceava 60.6%. Model favourite — Cetatea Suceava.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like USV Iaşi.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 2.02 49.5% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 2.45 40.8% | 2.60 38.5% | 1.03 97.1% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% |
| x2 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 6.40 15.6% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.00 16.7% | |
| X | 2.45 40.8% |
| 2.03 49.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.21 45.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 5.7 | 4.4 | 1.48 |
| Winline | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
| Fonbet | 5.7 | 4.4 | 1.48 |
| Betcity | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
Full head-to-head historyUSV Iaşi - Cetatea Suceava
The USV Iaşi - Cetatea Suceava breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
| 1 | Goal attempts | 0 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 0 | Shots off target | 0 |
| 0 | Shots blocked | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 0 |
| 3 | Corner kicks | 13 |
| 3 | Free kicks | 19 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 3 |
| 21 | Goal kicks | 3 |
| 20 | Throw-ins | 39 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow/red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Substitutions | 5 |
| 1 | Injuries | 1 |
| 119 | Ball Safe | 94 |
| 67 | Ball Safe | 28 |
| 87 | Attack | 150 |
| 15 | Attack | 27 |
| 33 | Dangerous Attack | 121 |
| 18 | Dangerous Attack | 45 |
| 0 | Penalties | 0 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
By the PropickAI model, USV Iaşi is favoured — about 61% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to USV Iaşi. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 12, 2026.
