Romania: Superliga Standings
Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Arges Pitesti — 63%
Model estimate: win Arges Pitesti 62.6%, draw 18.0%, win Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 19.4%. Model favourite — Arges Pitesti.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ardzhesh: probability 63% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arges Pitesti.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 1.57 / 2 10.00
- Glicko: Arges Pitesti 62.6% / X 18.0% / Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 19.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga IHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 11.00 9.1% | 2.18 45.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.30 43.5% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 10.00 10.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 6.00 16.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.08 48.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.55 |
| Winline | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.4 |
| Fonbet | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.55 |
| Betcity | 2.16 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
Arges Pitesti
Full head-to-head historyArges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Match history
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The Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form