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Romania: Superliga Standings
Romania: Superliga Standings
31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Romania: Superliga Standings

Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Football
Arges Pitesti
Arges Pitesti
0 : 0
Finished
C
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Arges Pitesti63%

1 · Arges Pitesti ✓ Pick62.6%
market57%
X · draw18.0%
market37%
2 · Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc19.4%
market6%

Model estimate: win Arges Pitesti 62.6%, draw 18.0%, win Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 19.4%. Model favourite — Arges Pitesti.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Arges Pitesti (odds1.70) Score 2:0 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Ardzhesh: probability 63% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arges Pitesti.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arges Pitesti. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 1.57 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Arges Pitesti 62.6% / X 18.0% / Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 19.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 71.7%
1 ✓ Pick 57.1%
X 37.1%
2 5.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga I
League table
Arges Pitesti
#123 ptsGP 21-0-11:2
ARRAY
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
#160 ptsGP 20-0-20:5
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 1.70 Superbet
X 3.86 Pinnacle
2 5.50 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Arges Pitesti
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.91 xGA 1.39 Corners 4.1
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.75 Conceded 1.18 xG 1.14 xGA 1.46 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Arges Pitesti
Rating 1523 xG 1.52 Win 53%
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Rating 1384 xG 0.87 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 57.1% @ 1.02 / X 37.1% @ 1.57 / 2 5.8% @ 10.00
Match center

Arges Pitesti - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arges Pitesti 56.8% 62.6% market and model agree
Draw 25.8% 18.0% draw risk
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 17.5% 19.4%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.6% / 18.0% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,490 / 1,241 Arges Pitesti / Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
RD 254 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 983-1,998 / 722-1,759 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 19.4%
X 1.57 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 62.6%
Double chance
12 2.30 Fonbet · weak value +88.7% · model 82.0%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
X2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 37.4%
Handicap
2 -1 3.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.64 61.0%
yes 11.00 9.1% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.30 43.5%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.30 43.5%
X 2.09 47.9%
6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.08 48.1%
Under 1 1.67 59.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-2, avg 2.83 gls
2025-12-06 · Ardzhesh 2:0 Chiksereda Merkurya-Chuk
2025-08-02 · Ardzhesh 3:1 Chiksereda Merkurya-Chuk
2025-05-18 · Ardzhesh 4:0 Chiksereda Merkurya-Chuk
2025-04-19 · Ardzhesh 3:0 Chiksereda Merkurya-Chuk
2024-08-26 · Ardzhesh 0:1 Chiksereda Merkurya-Chuk
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.16 (Betcity) · X 3.2 (Pari) · 2 3.55 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.1 3.2 3.55
Winline 2.14 3.15 3.4
Fonbet 2.1 3.2 3.55
Betcity 2.16 3.2 3.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Arges Pitesti
W L W W W
2026-07-24 Superliga 26/27
Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti 1:0 Petrolul Ploiesti
2026-07-17 Superliga 26/27
Arges Pitesti FCSB 2:0 Arges Pitesti
2026-07-02 Club Friendly Games 2026
Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti 4:0 Jadran Dekani
2026-06-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti 5:2 Vllaznia Shkoder
2026-06-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Arges Pitesti Cukaricki 0:2 Arges Pitesti
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
L L L L W
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0:2 FCSB Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2026-07-20 Superliga 26/27
Hunedoara 3:0 Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2026-07-08 Club Friendly Games 2026
Slaven Belupo 3:1 Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zbrojovka Brno 2:1 Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Radnicki Nis 0:2 Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points