PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Russia. League 1. Season 26/27
Russia. League 1. Season 26/27
3-y Round 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC 3-y Round
Finished

Russia. League 1. Season 26/27

KAMAZ - Rotor

Football
Stadium KAMAZ (Naberezhnye Chelny, Russia), vmestimost: 10000
Referee Roman Safyan (Moskva, Russia)
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
0 : 2
Finished
R
Rotor
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rotor — 38%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rotor): model 41% · market 61% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · KAMAZ29.6%
X · draw32.5%
2 · Rotor37.8%

Model estimate: win KAMAZ 29.6%, draw 32.5%, win Rotor 37.8%. Model favourite — Rotor.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rotor (odds2.48) Score 0:1 Under 2 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.70) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Rotor: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.70).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction KAMAZ - Rotor July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rotor.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rotor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.39 / X 2.91 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: KAMAZ 29.6% / X 32.5% / Rotor 37.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 61.9%
1 18.2%
X 21.2%
2 60.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.05 ↑ 3.30
1X2 X 3.00 ↓ 2.80
1X2 2 2.45 → 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

First League
League table
KAMAZ
#180 ptsGP 30-0-32:7
LLL
Rotor
#66 ptsGP 32-0-15:4
WWL
Best price across 6 books
1 3.75 1xBet
X 2.98 1xBet
2 2.41 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
KAMAZ
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.72 Conceded 1.18 xG 1.19 xGA 1.16 Corners 4.8
Rotor
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.78 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.33 xGA 0.92 Corners 5.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
KAMAZ
Rating 1465
Rotor
Rating 1556

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Participant opinions
563 predictions Choose an outcome
1 11% 42
X 40% 147
2 47% 173
Double chance X2 1.32 (13) - 1X 1.51 (6) - 12 1.42 (2)
Total TB 2.5 2.51 (17) - TB 3 3.88 (16) - TM 2.5 1.50 (13)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 2.02 (57) - BTTS no 1.69 (8)
handicap1 handicap2:0 1.65 (26) - handicap1:0 2.15 (10) - handicap2:-1 4.20 (2)
Match center
Stadium KAMAZ (Naberezhnye Chelny, Russia), vmestimost: 10000
Referee Roman Safyan (Moskva, Russia)
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Rotor 47%
📐 Math model Rotor 38%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

KAMAZ - Rotor

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi KAMAZ - Rotor, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. PARI First League Russia po futbolu 2026/2027, 3 round. KAMAZ - Rotor, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 127 - Stavka.tv 235 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Referees Line
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.8% fact: away hit / ROI 163.0% / Brier 0.580 / LogLoss 0.972
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 37.8% fact: away hit / ROI 163.0% / Brier 0.580 / LogLoss 0.972
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
KAMAZ 29.2% 29.6%
Draw 33.2% 32.5% draw risk
Rotor 37.7% 37.8% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.6% / 32.5% / 37.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,276 / 1,421 KAMAZ / Rotor
RD 255 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 765-1,786 / 923-1,919 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 37.8%
X 2.89 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.28 market consensus · no value · model 29.6%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 67.5%
1X 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 62.2%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 70.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.28 78.1% 1.71 58.5%
yes 3.65 27.4% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.51 66.2% 1.49 67.1% 14.00 7.1%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.14 24.2%
X 1.88 53.2%
3.37 29.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 1 2.33 42.9%
Under 0.5 2.29 43.7%
Under 1 1.54 64.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-4, avg 2.4 gls
2026-07-27 · KAMAZ 0:2 Rotor
2026-03-14 · KAMAZ 1:1 Rotor
2025-09-14 · KAMAZ 0:3 Rotor
2025-05-11 · KAMAZ 0:4 Rotor
2024-10-19 · KAMAZ 0:1 Rotor
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3 (Pari) · X 3 (Winline) · 2 2.6 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3 2.95 2.55
Winline 3 3 2.6
Fonbet 3 2.95 2.55
Betcity 3 3 2.5
Liga Stavok 2.9 2.9 2.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

50 Ball possession 50
102 Attacks 81
52 Dangerous attacks 53
1 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 3
Source: ruscore
KAMAZ
L L
19.07 11:00 UTC Russia: FNL Standings
KAMAZ 1:2 Nizhniy NovgorodNizhniy Novgorod
12.07 14:00 UTC Russia: FNL Standings
KAMAZ 1:3 Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Rotor
W L
20.07 14:30 UTC Russia: FNL Standings
Rotor 1:0 SKA-KhabarovskSKA-Khabarovsk
12.07 11:30 UTC Russia: FNL Standings
Rotor 2:4 Pari NN
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKAMAZ - Rotor

KAMAZ
0 matches total
Rotor
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 KAMAZ
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Rotor
KAMAZ Team comparison Rotor
2 Games 2
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
2 Scored 3
5 Conceded 4
0 Points 3
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
2 Games 2
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
2 Scored 3
5 Conceded 4

KAMAZ Rotor 2 Games 2 0 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 2 Losses 1 2 Scored 3 5 Conceded 4 0 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 2.5 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 28.11.2026 Russia — Liga Pari Rotor –:– KAMAZ 20 round Goly Abu-Said Eldarushev 0:1 11' Artem Simonyan 0:2 54' Nakazaniya Emmerson 29' Roman Zaschepkin 81' Aleksandr Khokhlachev 81' Aleksandr Kokotun 85' Roman Manuylov 90' Georgiy Yudintsev 90+3'