Dynamo Makhachkala face Krylia Sovetov on August 4, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Dynamo Makhachkala 3-1-1, Krylia Sovetov 1-3-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 48% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Dynamo Makhachkala — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dynamo Makhachkala): model 52% · market 48%Δ +4 ppmodel estimates above the market
48%1
1 · Dynamo Makhachkala47.9%
X · draw28.1%
2 · Krylia Sovetov24.1%
Model estimate: win Dynamo Makhachkala 47.9%, draw 28.1%, win Krylia Sovetov 24.1%. Model favourite — Dynamo Makhachkala.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 11.98↑ 2.15
1X2 X3.20↑ 3.40
1X2 24.30↓ 3.45
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cup
League table
Dynamo Makhachkala
#190 ptsGP 10-0-11:2
Krylia Sovetov
#83 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Best price
across 6 books
12.061xBet
X3.37Pinnacle
23.98Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Dynamo Makhachkala
Rating 1665
Krylia Sovetov
Rating 1465
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dynamo Makhachkala3:1Krylia Sovetov
12.19
X3.28
23.64
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
137%✓ favourite
X35%
228%
Score0:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:X2
Per AI dataH2H: 2-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 15:33 UTC
144%✓ favourite
X31%
225%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance X2 (Krylya Sovetov ne proigrayut) at 1.80
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
37%
35%
28%
0:0
Under 2.5
No
X2
Claude
44%
31%
25%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
Double chance X2 (Krylya Sovetov ne proigrayut) at 1.80
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Dinamo Mkh - Krylya Sovetov, 4 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group C. 1-y Round. Dinamo Mkh - Krylya Sovetov, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarktsquad
Line1 source
Stavka.tv
Player opinionsLiveResult 116
combined layer without duplicates
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.885 / LogLoss 1.425
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.9% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.885 / LogLoss 1.425
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Dynamo Makhachkala47.6%47.9%market and model agree
Draw28.5%28.1%draw risk
Krylia Sovetov23.9%24.1%
xG-1.28 : 1.12
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P247.9% / 28.1% / 24.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,679 / 1,519
Dynamo Makhachkala / Krylia Sovetov
RD254 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,170-2,187 / 937-2,102
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.03
Fonbet · no value · model 24.1%
X3.36
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.01
market consensus · no value · model 47.9%
Double chance
121.01
Fonbet · no value · model 71.9%
1X1.25
market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
X21.01
Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Handicap
2 -11.22
Fonbet · line only
2 +12.10
Fonbet · line only
2 01.06
Fonbet · line only
1 -14.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.35
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No7.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.09
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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