Lokomotiv Moscow face CSKA Moscow on August 4, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2-2, CSKA Moscow 1-2-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2CSKA Moscow — 37%
Pure model vs market (2 · CSKA Moscow): model 42% · market 36%Δ +6 ppmodel estimates above the market
37%2
1 · Lokomotiv Moscow36.3%
X · draw26.9%
2 · CSKA Moscow36.7%
Model estimate: win Lokomotiv Moscow 36.3%, draw 26.9%, win CSKA Moscow 36.7%. Model favourite — CSKA Moscow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 12.60↑ 100.00
1X2 X3.55↑ 10.00
1X2 22.60↓ 1.06
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cup
League table
Lokomotiv Moscow
#151 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
CSKA Moscow
#161 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Best price
across 6 books
12.53Pinnacle
X3.561xBet
22.881xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rating 1699
CSKA Moscow
Rating 1695
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow2:1CSKA Moscow
12.49
X3.59
22.90
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 18:29 UTC
133%
X34%✓ favourite
233%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:YesBet:X
Per AI dataH2H: 1-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 18:34 UTC
135%✓ favourite
X30%
235%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5 golov za ~2.00
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
33%
34%
33%
1:1
Under 2.5
Yes
X
Claude
35%
30%
35%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5 golov za ~2.00
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Lokomotiv M - TsSKA, 4 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group D. 1-y Round. Lokomotiv M - TsSKA, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H2
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarktsquad
Line1 source
Stavka.tv
Player opinionsLiveResult 129
combined layer without duplicates
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 36.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 189.0% / Brier 0.605 / LogLoss 1.002
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 36.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 189.0% / Brier 0.605 / LogLoss 1.002
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Lokomotiv Moscow36.4%36.3%market favourite
Draw27.2%26.9%draw risk
CSKA Moscow36.4%36.7%Glicko contrarian
xG-1.28 : 1.33
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P236.3% / 26.9% / 36.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.06
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.7%
X10.00
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.59
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.3%
Double chance
121.05
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.1%
1X9.00
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.3%
X21.01
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.7%
Handicap
2 -11.25
Fonbet · line only
2 +11.60
Fonbet · line only
2 01.06
Fonbet · line only
1 -13.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.04
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.35
Fonbet · line only
Yes3.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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