Rodina Moscow face Rubin on August 4, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rodina Moscow 2-1-2, Rubin 1-3-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Rubin — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Rubin): model 40% · market 47%Δ −7 ppmodel estimates below the market
46%2
1 · Rodina Moscow27.8%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Rubin46.4%
Model estimate: win Rodina Moscow 27.8%, draw 25.8%, win Rubin 46.4%. Model favourite — Rubin.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Rubin: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
•legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
•Expected score 0:1
•Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
•at line 2.5 (odds 2.00)
•Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.50).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rodina Moscow - Rubin August 4, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rodina Moscow.
Line favourite Fonbet: Rodina Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 3.76 / 2 2.06
Glicko: Rodina Moscow 27.8% / X 25.8% / Rubin 46.4%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.1%
3 books
127.1%
X25.9%
247.0%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 13.50→ 3.50
1X2 X3.80↓ 3.65
1X2 22.00↑ 2.05
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cup
League table
Rodina Moscow
#13 ptsGP 11-0-05:0
Rubin
#320 ptsGP 10-0-10:5
Best price
across 6 books
13.54Marathonbet
X3.80Marathonbet
22.07Superbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Rodina Moscow1:1Rubin
13.31
X3.68
22.17
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
128%
X25%
247%✓ favourite
Score1:2Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:2
Per AI dataH2H: 1-1
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 15:40 UTC
162%✓ favourite
X21%
217%
Score2:0Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 3.5 gola (68%, spravedlivyy kef
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
28%
25%
47%
1:2
Over 2.5
Yes
Claude
62%
21%
17%
2:0
Under 3.5
No
Under 3.5 gola (68%, spravedlivyy kef
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Rodina - Rubin, 4 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group A. 1-y Round. Rodina - Rubin, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarktsquad
Line1 source
Stavka.tv
Player opinionsLiveResult 122
combined layer without duplicates
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.804 / LogLoss 1.281
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.804 / LogLoss 1.281
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Rodina Moscow27.2%27.8%
Draw26.0%25.8%draw risk
Rubin46.8%46.4%market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P227.8% / 25.8% / 46.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.04
market consensus · no value · model 46.4%
X3.68
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.02
Fonbet · no value · model 27.8%
Double chance
121.07
Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1X1.14
Fonbet · no value · model 53.6%
X21.30
market consensus · no value · model 72.2%
Handicap
2 -15.00
Fonbet · line only
2 +13.45
Fonbet · line only
2 04.05
Fonbet · line only
1 -11.17
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.33
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.53.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.50
Fonbet · line only
Yes2.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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