Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Ural 2 Yekaterinburg - Akron 2 Togliatti
Ural 2 Yekaterinburg go head-to-head with Akron 2 Togliatti on August 2, 2026 in the Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ural 2 Yekaterinburg 0-3-2, Akron 2 Togliatti 2-1-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ural 2 Yekaterinburg — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ural 2 Yekaterinburg): model 40% · market 29% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Ural 2 Yekaterinburg 40.5%, draw 25.5%, win Akron 2 Togliatti 34.0%. Model favourite — Ural 2 Yekaterinburg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ural 2: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.53)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ural 2 Yekaterinburg - Akron 2 Togliatti August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Akron 2 Togliatti.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.33 / X 11.00 / 2 1.02
- Glicko: Ural 2 Yekaterinburg 40.5% / X 25.5% / Akron 2 Togliatti 34.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Second League - Group 4Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Ural 2 Yekaterinburg - Akron 2 Togliatti
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.38 72.5% | 3.27 30.6% |
| yes | 2.80 35.7% | 1.33 75.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.41 70.9% | 12.50 8.0% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.05 95.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.68 37.3% | |
| X | 2.58 38.8% |
| 3.13 32.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
Full head-to-head historyUral 2 Yekaterinburg - Akron 2 Togliatti
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Ural 2 Yekaterinburg - Akron 2 Togliatti breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form