AI verdict

AI pick Rayon Sports win probability ~36% best odds 2.65

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Rayon Sports. Full breakdown below.

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Rwanda: Super Cup
Rwanda: Super Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Rwanda: Super Cup

Rayon Sports vs Polis — Football prediction

Football
Rayon Sports
Rayon Sports
0 : 0
Finished
Polis
Polis

Rayon Sports go head-to-head with Polis on August 27, 2026 in the Rwanda: Super Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rayon Sports 5-0-0, Polis 1-2-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rayon Sports36%

1 · Rayon Sports35.8%
X · draw37.8%
2 · Polis26.4%

Model estimate: win Rayon Sports 35.8%, draw 37.8%, win Polis 26.4%. Model favourite — Rayon Sports.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance Rayon Sports or draw 1.24

Model confidence 73% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayon Sports - Polis August 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.48 / 2 3.40
  • Glicko: Rayon Sports 35.8% / X 37.8% / Polis 26.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books · best price +6.0%
1 34.4%
X 38.9%
2 26.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Rayon Sports
35%
2.65
Draw
38%
2.48
Polis
27%
3.40
Handicap
Rayon Sports (0)
56%
1.65
Polis (0)
44%
2.10
Total
Over 2.5
44%
2.11
Under 2.5
56%
1.65

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rayon Sports 1 : 1 Polis
12.41
X2.69
23.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
8 predictions Choose an outcome
1 87% 7
X 12% 1
2 0% 0
Match center
Start 27.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 35.1% @ 2.65 / X 37.5% @ 2.48 / 2 27.4% @ 3.40
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Rayon Sports 87%
📐 Math model Draw 38%
💹 Market Draw 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Rayon Sports - Polis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit the draw is not published yet: the draw model is being refined Data: line, form, table draw - 37.8% fact: draw hit / ROI 148.0% / Brier 0.585 / LogLoss 0.973
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit the draw is not published yet: the draw model is being refined Data: line, form, table draw - 37.8% fact: draw hit / ROI 148.0% / Brier 0.585 / LogLoss 0.973
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rayon Sports 34.4% 35.8% market and model agree
Draw 38.9% 37.8% draw risk
Polis 26.8% 26.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 35.8% / 37.8% / 26.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,717 / 1,402 Rayon Sports / Polis
RD 196 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,326-2,109 / 883-1,920 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.34 market consensus · no value · model 26.4%
X 2.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.60 market consensus · no value · model 35.8%
Double chance
12 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 62.2%
1X 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 73.6%
X2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 64.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.21 31.2%
X 1.79 55.9%
4.17 24.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.20 45.5%
Under 1 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Rayon Sports Team form Polis
10 Matches 10
14 Goals 7
1.4 Per match 0.7
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
Rayon Sports
W W W W W
07.08, 11:00
Gor Makhia 1:2 Rayon Sport
04.08, 12:00
Dzhamus 1:3 Rayon Sport
01.08, 12:00
Al-Khilyal Omdurman 0:1 Rayon Sport
29.07, 11:00
Tasker 0:1 Rayon Sport
26.07, 11:00
Rayon Sport 2:0 KVZ
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
15 Points
Polis
L D L D W
19.03, 11:30
Rayon Sport 0:0 Polis SK
12.03, 08:00
Polis SK 0:0 Rayon Sport
07.06.25, 10:00
Koton Sport Uida 2:1 Polis SK
24.05.25, 10:00
ASPAC 0:0 Polis SK
18.05.25, 10:00
Polis SK 2:0 ASVO
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Rayon Sports - Polis

Rayon Sports
2 matches total
Polis
Rayon Sports: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Polis: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (19.03, 11:30) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

Event
Rayon Sports
0:0
Polis
Event
Rayon Sports
0:0
Polis
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Rayon Sports
Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Polis
Matches in history 2
Biggest draw 0:0
Highest-scoring match 0:0
Cup Ruandy 2 / 0 / 2 / 0 / 0 / 0

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rayon Sports vs Polis?

By the PropickAI model, draw is favoured — about 36% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Rayon Sports vs Polis?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to draw. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Rayon Sports vs Polis?

Live odds for Rayon Sports vs Polis from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Rayon Sports vs Polis start?

August 27, 2026.