AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Rayon Sports. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Rwanda: Super Cup
Rayon Sports vs Polis — Football prediction
Rayon Sports go head-to-head with Polis on August 27, 2026 in the Rwanda: Super Cup.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rayon Sports 5-0-0, Polis 1-2-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Rayon Sports — 36%
Model estimate: win Rayon Sports 35.8%, draw 37.8%, win Polis 26.4%. Model favourite — Rayon Sports.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Double chance — Rayon Sports or draw 1.24
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayon Sports - Polis August 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.48 / 2 3.40
- Glicko: Rayon Sports 35.8% / X 37.8% / Polis 26.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Rayon Sports - Polis
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.42 70.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.21 31.2% | |
| X | 1.79 55.9% |
| 4.17 24.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
Rayon Sports
Polis
Full head-to-head history: Rayon Sports - Polis
Overall statistics
Match history
Polis
Polis
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The Rayon Sports - Polis breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rayon Sports vs Polis?
By the PropickAI model, draw is favoured — about 36% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Rayon Sports vs Polis?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to draw. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Rayon Sports vs Polis?
Live odds for Rayon Sports vs Polis from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Rayon Sports vs Polis start?
August 27, 2026.