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Serbia: Superliga Standings
Serbia: Superliga Standings
3-y Round 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC 3-y Round
Finished

Serbia: Superliga Standings

Cukaricki - Radnichki Kragujevac

Football
Stadium na Banovom brdu (Belgrad, Serbia), vmestimost: 4070
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
3 : 0
Finished
R
Radnichki Kragujevac

Cukaricki meet Radnichki Kragujevac on August 1, 2026 in the Serbia: Superliga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cukaricki 2-1-2, Radnichki Kragujevac 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cukaricki — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cukaricki): model 51% · market 71% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cukaricki40.1%
X · draw29.6%
2 · Radnichki Kragujevac30.4%

Model estimate: win Cukaricki 40.1%, draw 29.6%, win Radnichki Kragujevac 30.4%. Model favourite — Cukaricki.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.04) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.04)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cukaricki - Radnichki Kragujevac August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cukaricki.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cukaricki. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 13.00 / 2 3.07
  • Glicko: Cukaricki 40.1% / X 29.6% / Radnichki Kragujevac 30.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 39.3%
1 71.1%
X 5.5%
2 23.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super Liga
League table
Cukaricki
#63 ptsGP 21-0-12:1
Radnichki Kragujevac
#120 ptsGP 10-0-10:1
Best price across 12 books
1 2.38 William Hill
X 3.30 Betfair
2 3.10 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cukaricki
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 0.72 Conceded 0.78 xG 1.18 xGA 1.57 Corners 4.0
Radnichki Kragujevac
W-D-L 1-8-1 Scored 0.97 Conceded 0.71 xG 1.55 xGA 1.04 Corners 5.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cukaricki
Rating 1520 xG 1.17 Win 39%
Radnichki Kragujevac
Rating 1455 xG 1.02 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cukaricki 1 : 1 Radnichki Kragujevac
12.30
X3.02
23.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium na Banovom brdu (Belgrad, Serbia), vmestimost: 4070
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 71.1% @ 1.01 / X 5.5% @ 13.00 / 2 23.4% @ 3.07
Match center

Cukaricki - Radnichki Kragujevac

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Chukarichki - Radnichki K, 1 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Championship Serbii po futbolu (Superliga) 2027, 3-y Round. Chukarichki - Radnichki K, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.1% fact: home hit / ROI 138.0% / Brier 0.539 / LogLoss 0.915
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.1% fact: home hit / ROI 138.0% / Brier 0.539 / LogLoss 0.915
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cukaricki 39.3% 40.1% market and model agree
Draw 30.1% 29.6% draw risk
Radnichki Kragujevac 30.6% 30.4%
xG - 1.17 : 1.02
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.1% / 29.6% / 30.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,547 / 1,400 Cukaricki / Radnichki Kragujevac
RD 249 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,048-2,045 / 817-1,983 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.02 market consensus · no value · model 30.4%
X 3.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 70.4%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 69.6%
X2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +439.5% · model 59.9%
Handicap
2 -1 4.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 1.96 51.0%
yes 6.20 16.1% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.00 33.3%
X 1.95 51.3%
3.77 26.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.97 50.8%
Under 1 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Cukaricki
W L W L D
2026-07-25 Superliga 26/27
Cukaricki Radnicki Nis 0:2 Cukaricki
2026-07-19 Superliga 26/27
Cukaricki Cukaricki 0:1 IMT Novi Beograd
2026-06-28 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cukaricki Olimpija Ljubljana 0:3 Cukaricki
2026-06-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cukaricki Cukaricki 0:2 Arges Pitesti
2026-05-22 Superliga 25/26, Championship Round
Cukaricki Zeleznicar Pancevo 0:0 Cukaricki
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Radnichki Kragujevac
L W W D D
2026-07-18 Superliga 26/27
Novi Pazar 1:0 Radnichki Kragujevac Radnichki Kragujevac
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Radnichki Kragujevac 1:0 IMT Novi Beograd Radnichki Kragujevac
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
Radnichki Kragujevac 3:1 Buducnost Podgorica Radnichki Kragujevac
2026-05-24 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Radnichki Kragujevac 2:2 Javor Ivanjica Radnichki Kragujevac
2026-05-16 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Napredak Krusevac 0:0 Radnichki Kragujevac Radnichki Kragujevac
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Cukaricki
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Radnichki Kragujevac
Cukaricki Team comparison Radnichki Kragujevac
2 Games 1
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
2 Scored 0
1 Conceded 1
3 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
2 Games 1
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
2 Scored 0
1 Conceded 1

Chukarichki Radnichki K 2 Games 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 2 Scored 0 1 Conceded 1 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Serbia — Superliga Radnichki K –:– Chukarichki 16 round Goly Florin Durmishay 1:0 4' Uros Miladinovic 2:0 26' Uros Miladinovic 3:0 34' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 80% 20% 0% Double chance 50% 40% 10% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1325458' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');