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Serbia: Superliga Standings
Serbia: Superliga Standings
3-y Round 03.08.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 19:00 UTC 3-y Round
Finished

Serbia: Superliga Standings

Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani

Football
Stadium Mladost (Krushevats, Serbia), vmestimost: 18000
Z
Zeleznicar Pancevo
0 : 0
Finished
M
Mladost Lucani

Zeleznicar Pancevo take on Mladost Lucani on August 3, 2026 in the Serbia: Superliga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-0-3, Mladost Lucani 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zeleznicar Pancevo): model 48% · market 52% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zeleznicar Pancevo51.6%
X · draw26.9%
2 · Mladost Lucani21.5%

Model estimate: win Zeleznicar Pancevo 51.6%, draw 26.9%, win Mladost Lucani 21.5%. Model favourite — Zeleznicar Pancevo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zeleznicar Pancevo (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Zheleznichar Panchevo: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.40 / X 1.19 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Zeleznicar Pancevo 51.6% / X 26.9% / Mladost Lucani 21.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8% 4 books · best price +201.7%
1 51.8%
X 27.4%
2 20.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super Liga
League table
Zeleznicar Pancevo
#83 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Mladost Lucani
#102 ptsGP 20-2-01:1
Best price across 13 books
1 1.82 Superbet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 4.75 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Zeleznicar Pancevo
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.42 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.31 xGA 1.29 Corners 4.2
Mladost Lucani
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.25 Conceded 0.69 xG 1.33 xGA 1.13 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Rating 1603 xG 1.43 Win 50%
Mladost Lucani
Rating 1488 xG 0.87 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Zeleznicar Pancevo 1 : 1 Mladost Lucani
11.87
X3.22
23.93

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Mladost (Krushevats, Serbia), vmestimost: 18000
Start 03.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 17.0% @ 5.40 / X 76.9% @ 1.19 / 2 6.1% @ 15.00
Match center

Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Zheleznichar P - Mladost L, 3 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Championship Serbii po futbolu (Superliga) 2027, 3-y Round. Zheleznichar P - Mladost L, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.847 / LogLoss 1.313
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.847 / LogLoss 1.313
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zeleznicar Pancevo 51.9% 51.6% market and model agree
Draw 27.2% 26.9% draw risk
Mladost Lucani 21.0% 21.5%
xG - 1.43 : 0.87
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.6% / 26.9% / 21.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,524 Zeleznicar Pancevo / Mladost Lucani
RD 292 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,016-2,183 / 1,028-2,021 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.39 market consensus · no value · model 21.5%
X 1.19 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.40 Fonbet · weak value +178.7% · model 51.6%
Double chance
12 3.95 Fonbet · weak value +188.7% · model 73.1%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 78.5%
X2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 48.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.86 53.8%
yes 12.00 8.3% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 3.95 25.3%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.12 89.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.34 42.7%
X 2.06 48.5%
5.10 19.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.90 52.6%
Under 1 1.80 55.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-2-4, avg 2.29 gls
2026-08-03 · Zheleznichar 0:0 Mladost Luchani
2026-03-15 · Zheleznichar 5:0 Mladost Luchani
2025-10-19 · Zheleznichar 1:2 Mladost Luchani
2025-03-03 · Zheleznichar 1:1 Mladost Luchani
2024-10-05 · Zheleznichar 1:2 Mladost Luchani
Source: ruscore
Zeleznicar Pancevo
L L W W L
2026-07-30 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Zeleznicar Pancevo Braga 4:0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
2026-07-22 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0:1 Braga
2026-07-17 Superliga 26/27
Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2:1 Radnicki Nis
2026-07-09 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3:1 Debreceni VSC
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zeleznicar Pancevo CSKA 1948 Sofia 1:0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Mladost Lucani
D D W W L
2026-07-26 Superliga 26/27
Mladost Lucani 0:0 Novi Pazar Mladost Lucani
2026-07-19 Superliga 26/27
Radnik Surdulica 1:1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
2026-05-24 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Mladost Lucani 1:0 Napredak Krusevac Mladost Lucani
2026-05-16 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Javor Ivanjica 2:4 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
2026-05-10 Superliga 25/26, Relegation Round
Radnicki Nis 1:0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zeleznicar Pancevo
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Mladost Lucani
Zeleznicar Pancevo Team comparison Mladost Lucani
1 Games 2
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
2 Scored 1
1 Conceded 1
3 Points 2
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
1 Games 2
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
2 Scored 1
1 Conceded 1

Zheleznichar P Mladost L 1 Games 2 1 Wins 0 Draws 2 0 Losses 0 2 Scored 1 Conceded 1 3 Points 2 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Serbia — Superliga Mladost L –:– Zheleznichar P 16 round Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 69% 23% 8% Double chance 46% 38% 16% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1325452' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');