Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Serie A Italy

02.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction

02.11.2025 19:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

AC Milan - AS Roma

Italy Football

AC Milan

1 : 0

Finished

AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - AS Roma November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.27 / X 3.06 / 2 3.67
1X2 market: AC Milan 42.4% / X 31.4% / AS Roma 26.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 42.4%

X 31.4%

2 26.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%

Over 2.5 40.0%

Under 2.5 60.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 02.11.2025 19:45 UTC

Match center

AC Milan - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.67 market consensus · line only

X 3.06 market consensus · line only

1 2.27 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.67 market consensus · line only

12 1.40 market consensus · line only

1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.58 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.81 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.31 43.3%
X	3.05 32.8%
	3.73 26.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	2.23 44.8%	2.34 42.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.29 43.7%	2.31 43.3%	2.31 43.3%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.16 31.7%	3.00 33.3%	3.12 32.1%	3.05 32.8%	3.05 32.8%
	3.75 26.7%	3.67 27.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.68 27.2%	3.73 26.8%	3.73 26.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.83 54.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.76 56.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%
yes	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.01 49.8%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%
home_away	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.31 76.3%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

AC Milan

D D W D W

28.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 1:1 Atalanta

24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:2 Pisa

19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:1 Fiorentina

05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 0:0 Juventus

28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:1 Napoli

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

AS Roma

W W L W W

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:1 Parma

26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:0 Sassuolo

18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 0:1 Inter

05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:1 Fiorentina

28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:0 Hellas Verona

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - AS Roma

AC Milan

1 matches total

AS Roma

AC Milan: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

AS Roma: 1 (100%)

Biggest win AS Roma 1:3 (18.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 18.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.05 18:45 UTC

Serie A

AC Milan

1:3

AS Roma