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Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Bologna

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
3 : 1
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Bologna May 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.45 / 2 3.12
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 40.7% / X 28.2% / Bologna 31.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 40.7%
X 28.2%
2 31.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.12 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.39 41.8%
X 3.45 29.0%
3.12 32.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
2.24 44.6%
Match center
AC Milan
W W L W D
05.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 GenoaGenoa
27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:0 Venezia
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 UdineseUdinese
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Bologna
D D W L D
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 JuventusJuventus
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 UdineseUdinese
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 InterInter
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Bologna

AC Milan
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history