Match center
Start
14.09.2025 18:45 UTC
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14.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
AC Milan - Bologna
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AC Milan - Bologna September 14, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.49 / 2 4.86
- 1X2 market: AC Milan 53.2% / X 27.2% / Bologna 19.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
53.3%
X
27.2%
2
19.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AC Milan - Bologna
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.88
market consensus · line only
X
3.49
market consensus · line only
1
1.78
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.02
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.19
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.56
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | |
| X | 3.56 28.1% |
| 5.19 19.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 4.85 20.6% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.07 19.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.83 54.6% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
AC Milan
W
L
W
L
W
29.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:0
Lecce
Lecce
23.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:2
Cremonese
Cremonese
24.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:0
Monza
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:3
AS Roma
AS Roma
09.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:1
Bologna
Bologna
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Bologna
W
L
L
L
L
30.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
1:0
Como
Como
23.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
0:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
24.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
1:3
Genoa
Genoa
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
2:3
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
09.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
1:3
AC Milan
AC Milan
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Bologna
AC Milan
1
matches total
AC Milan: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
AC Milan 3:1 (09.05 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 09.05 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
09.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
3:1
Bologna
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