Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Serie A Italy

38 round 24.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

24.05.2026 18:45 UTC 38 round

Finished

Serie A

AC Milan - Cagliari

Italy Football

AC Milan

1 : 2

Finished

Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Cagliari May 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.29 / 2 10.68
1X2 market: AC Milan 73.1% / X 17.9% / Cagliari 9.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 73.3%

X 17.9%

2 8.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 55.1%

Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium San-Siro (Dzhuzeppe Meatstsa) (Milan, Italy), 74 593 zritelya (93% pri vmestimosti 80 018)

Referee Marko Guida (Torre-Annuntsiata)

Start 24.05.2026 18:45 UTC

Match center

AC Milan - Cagliari

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Milan - Kalyari, 24 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 38 round. Milan - Kalyari, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X 4.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.29 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · line only

1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.22 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.25 80.0%
X	5.10 19.6%	5.48 18.3%	4.80 20.8%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%	5.00 20.0%
	9.60 10.4%	13.20 7.6%	11.00 9.1%	9.50 10.5%	10.50 9.5%	10.50 9.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.67 59.9%	1.61 62.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.67 59.9%
yes	2.15 46.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	3.45 29.0%	3.72 26.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%
home_away	1.14 87.7%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.13 88.5%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.08 92.6%	1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 2.25	—	1.62 61.7%
Over 2.5	1.70 58.8%	—
Over 3.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Over 4.5	5.00 20.0%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.42 70.4%	—
Under 4.5	1.17 85.5%	—

Match center

AC Milan

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Cagliari

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Riyad Idrissi Leonardo Pavoletti Maykl Folorunsho

Match center

AC Milan

W L L D W

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:1 Genoa

10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 2:3 Atalanta

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 0:2 Sassuolo

26.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 0:0 Juventus

19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

AC Milan 1:0 Hellas Verona

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Cagliari

W L D W L

17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 2:1 Torino

09.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Udinese

03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:0 Bologna

27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:2 Atalanta

17.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:3 Inter

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Cagliari

AC Milan

1 matches total

Cagliari

AC Milan: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Cagliari: 0 (0%)

Biggest win AC Milan 1:0 (02.01 19:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 02.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.01 19:45 UTC

Serie A

AC Milan

1:0

Cagliari

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 AC Milan

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Cagliari

37 Games 37

20 Wins 10

10 Draws 10

7 Losses 17

52 Scored 38

33 Conceded 52

70 Points 40

101.26 Attacks 77.76

47.57 Dangerous attacks 31.86

0 Big chances 0

12.86 Shots on goal 10.03

4.32 Shots on target 3.27

0.05 Goly Aleksis Salemakers Santyago Khimenes 1:0 2' Dzhennaro Borrelli 1 20' Khuan Rodriges 1:2 57' Nakazaniya Ze Pedru 2' Strakhinya Pavlovich 56' Mik Menyan 58' Ibraim Sulemana 90+6'

Milan Kalyari 37 Games 37 20 Wins 10 Draws 10 7 Losses 17 52 Scored 38 33 Conceded 52 70 Points 40 101.26 Attacks 77.76 47.57 Dangerous attacks 31.86 0 Big chances 0 12.86 Shots on goal 10.03 4.32 Udary v stvor 3.27 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.24 Uglovye 3.76 1.78 Offsaydy 1.68 10.3 Foly 13.86 51.86 % vladeniya myachom 45.59 1.62 Warnings 2.08 0.08 Sendoffs 0.05 Goly Aleksis Salemakers Santyago Khimenes 1:0 2' Dzhennaro Borrelli 1 20' Khuan Rodriges 1:2 57' Nakazaniya Ze Pedru 2' Strakhinya Pavlovich 56' Mik Menyan 58' Ibraim Sulemana 90+6'