Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Como

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
1 : 1
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Como February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.10 / 2 3.19
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 39.8% / X 30.5% / Como 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 39.8%
X 30.5%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.45 40.8%
X 3.13 32.0%
3.33 30.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.23 31.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
AC Milan
W W D W W
13.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 PisaPisa
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 BolognaBologna
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 LecceLecce
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:1 ComoComo
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Como
L D W W L
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
01.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
24.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 6:0 TorinoTorino
19.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 LazioLazio
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Como

AC Milan
1 matches total
Como
AC Milan: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AC Milan 3:1 (15.01 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 15.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
3:1
Como