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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.10.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
24.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Pisa

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
2 : 2
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Pisa October 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.46 / 2 10.39
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 73.3% / X 17.5% / Pisa 9.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 73.4%
X 17.5%
2 9.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Under 2.5 46.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 9.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.30 76.9%
X 5.71 17.5%
11.24 8.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.57 18.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2%
11.50 8.7% 10.50 9.5% 9.90 10.1% 9.50 10.5% 11.50 8.7% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.87 25.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
AC Milan
W D W W W
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:0 JuventusJuventus
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 NapoliNapoli
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 UdineseUdinese
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 BolognaBologna
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Pisa
D L D L L
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:4 BolognaBologna
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Pisa

AC Milan
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history