Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Sassuolo

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
2 : 2
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

AC Milan go head-to-head with Sassuolo on December 14, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): AC Milan 4-1-0, Sassuolo 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards AC Milan, an implied 64% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Sassuolo December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.31 / 2 7.04
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 64.4% / X 22.1% / Sassuolo 13.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 64.4%
X 22.1%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Market 1 64.4% @ 1.48 / X 22.1% @ 4.31 / 2 13.5% @ 7.04
Match center

AC Milan - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.06 market consensus · line only
X 4.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.53 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.28 23.4%
7.37 13.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%
7.10 14.1% 7.00 14.3% 7.26 13.8% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 2.73 36.6%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
AC Milan
W W W D W
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:2 TorinoTorino
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 LazioLazio
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 InterInter
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 ParmaParma
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Sassuolo
W L D W L
06.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 ComoComo
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 PisaPisa
09.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 AtalantaAtalanta
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Sassuolo

AC Milan
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history