PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - AC Milan

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
3 : 1
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - AC Milan May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.61 / 2 3.37
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 44.2% / X 26.9% / AC Milan 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 44.2%
X 26.9%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.61 27.7%
3.37 29.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.60 62.5%
2.45 40.8%
Match center
AS Roma
L W W W D
12.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 InterInter
19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 LazioLazio
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
AC Milan
W W W L W
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:1 BolognaBologna
05.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 GenoaGenoa
27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:0 Venezia
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 UdineseUdinese
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - AC Milan

AS Roma
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history