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Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
09.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Cagliari

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 0
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Cagliari February 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.06 / 2 7.65
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 64.2% / X 23.4% / Cagliari 12.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 64.2%
X 23.4%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.67 market consensus · line only
X 4.07 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.68 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.16 24.0%
7.96 12.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.27 23.4% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1%
7.20 13.9% 7.70 13.0% 7.90 12.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 7.80 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
AS Roma
L D W W W
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 UdineseUdinese
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
18.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 TorinoTorino
10.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 SassuoloSassuolo
06.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 LecceLecce
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Cagliari
W W W L D
31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 4:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 JuventusJuventus
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:3 GenoaGenoa
08.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Cagliari

AS Roma
1 matches total
Cagliari
AS Roma: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cagliari 0:1 (07.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 07.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
0:1
Cagliari