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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
22.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Cremonese

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
3 : 0
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Cremonese February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 4.91 / 2 9.55
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 70.7% / X 19.4% / Cremonese 10.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 70.8%
X 19.3%
2 9.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.92 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 9.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.08 19.7%
10.76 9.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.90 20.4% 5.10 19.6% 5.16 19.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
9.80 10.2% 9.50 10.5% 9.50 10.5% 8.50 11.8% 10.00 10.0% 9.25 10.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.35 29.9% 3.22 31.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
AS Roma
D W L D W
15.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:2 NapoliNapoli
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 CagliariCagliari
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 UdineseUdinese
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
18.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 TorinoTorino
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Cremonese
D L L L D
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 GenoaGenoa
09.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 InterInter
25.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Cremonese

AS Roma
1 matches total
Cremonese
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cremonese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AS Roma 3:1 (23.11 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 23.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
3:1
Cremonese