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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

AS Roma take on Hellas Verona on September 28, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): AS Roma 3-0-1, Hellas Verona 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is AS Roma at roughly 66%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Hellas Verona September 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.28 / 2 8.41
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 66.4% / X 22.3% / Hellas Verona 11.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9% 14 books · best price +4.2%
1 66.5%
X 22.1%
2 11.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 66.3% @ 1.44 / X 22.3% @ 4.28 / 2 11.4% @ 8.41
Match center

AS Roma - Hellas Verona

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.44 market consensus · line only
X 4.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.44 69.4%
X 4.39 22.8%
8.83 11.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.35 23.0% 4.35 23.0% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0%
8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 8.10 12.4% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.56 64.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.29 43.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.81 35.6%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7%
Match center
AS Roma
W L W W
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 LazioLazio
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 TorinoTorino
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 PisaPisa
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Hellas Verona
D D L D W
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 JuventusJuventus
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 LazioLazio
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 UdineseUdinese
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 Empoli
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Hellas Verona

AS Roma
1 matches total
Hellas Verona
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AS Roma 1:0 (19.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 19.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Hellas Verona