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Serie A
Serie A Italy
10.01.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
10.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Sassuolo

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 0
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Sassuolo January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.64 / 2 5.91
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 57.6% / X 26.3% / Sassuolo 16.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 57.6%
X 26.3%
2 16.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.43 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 3.47 28.8%
6.38 15.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.76 26.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4%
5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.95 16.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
AS Roma
W L W L W
06.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 LecceLecce
03.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
29.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 GenoaGenoa
20.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 JuventusJuventus
15.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 ComoComo
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Sassuolo
L D D L D
06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:3 JuventusJuventus
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:1 ParmaParma
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:1 BolognaBologna
21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 TorinoTorino
14.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Sassuolo

AS Roma
1 matches total
Sassuolo
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sassuolo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AS Roma 1:0 (26.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 26.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Sassuolo