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Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
09.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Cremonese

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 : 1
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Cremonese February 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.03 / 2 8.88
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 70.3% / X 18.9% / Cremonese 10.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 70.4%
X 18.9%
2 10.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Under 2.5 44.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.90 market consensus · line only
X 5.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.07 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 5.29 18.9%
9.20 10.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9%
X 4.85 20.6% 5.10 19.6% 5.21 19.2% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%
8.70 11.5% 8.90 11.2% 9.50 10.5% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 8.75 11.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.20 31.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Atalanta
D W D W W
01.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:0 ComoComo
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:0 ParmaParma
16.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 PisaPisa
10.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 TorinoTorino
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
11 Points
Cremonese
L L D L D
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 InterInter
25.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:5 JuventusJuventus
08.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:2 CagliariCagliari
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Cremonese

Atalanta
1 matches total
Cremonese
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Cremonese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 25.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (25.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta
1:1
Cremonese