AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~68% confidence High best odds 1.43

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta vs Genoa — Football prediction

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
5 : 1
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Atalanta face Genoa on October 5, 2024 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atalanta 1-1-1, Genoa 0-1-3. The market favourite is Atalanta at roughly 68%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Genoa October 5, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.93 / 2 7.58
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 67.6% / X 19.6% / Genoa 12.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 67.6%
X 19.6%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Market 1 67.6% @ 1.43 / X 19.6% @ 4.93 / 2 12.8% @ 7.58
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Match center

Atalanta - Genoa

Form 3/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9%
X 4.93 20.3%
7.58 13.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.16 86.2%
6.03 16.6%
Match center
Atalanta
D L W
28.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 BolonyaBolonya
24.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:3 KomoKomo
15.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 3:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Genoa
L L D L
28.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:3 YuventusYuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:2 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
15.09 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 1:1 RomaRoma
01.09 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Atalanta - Genoa

Atalanta
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Atalanta vs Genoa?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Atalanta. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Atalanta vs Genoa?

Live odds for Atalanta vs Genoa from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Atalanta vs Genoa start?

October 5, 2024.