Serie A
Serie A Italy
05.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Genoa

Italy Futbol
Atalanta
Atalanta
5 : 1
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Genoa 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.93 / 2 7.58
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 67.6% / X 19.6% / Genoa 12.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 67.6%
X 19.6%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Genoa

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.43 69.9%
Х 4.93 20.3%
П2 7.58 13.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.16 86.2%
П2 6.03 16.6%
Match center
Atalanta
D L W
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 BolognaBologna
24.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 ComoComo
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Genoa
L L D L
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Venezia
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Genoa

Atalanta
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history