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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.04.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Lazio

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
0 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Lazio April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.89 / 2 5.13
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 56.3% / X 24.9% / Lazio 18.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 56.3%
X 24.9%
2 18.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.13 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
X 3.89 25.7%
5.13 19.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.23 44.8%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 2.5 2.04 49.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.29 77.5%
3.86 25.9%
Match center
Atalanta
W W W W D
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 Monza
26.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 6:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 Venezia
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 5:1 GenoaGenoa
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 BolognaBologna
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Lazio
W W L W W
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 5:1 ComoComo
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 JuventusJuventus
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Empoli
29.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:2 TorinoTorino
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Lazio

Atalanta
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history