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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
25.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Parma

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 : 3
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Parma May 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.75 / 2 4.38
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 51.9% / X 25.9% / Parma 22.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 51.9%
X 25.9%
2 22.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Under 2.5 39.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.87 53.5%
X 3.75 26.7%
4.38 22.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.05 48.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.61 62.1%
Under 2.5 2.44 41.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
3.24 30.9%
Match center
Atalanta
W W W D W
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 GenoaGenoa
12.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
04.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:0 Monza
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 LecceLecce
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Parma
D L L D W
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 Empoli
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 ComoComo
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 LazioLazio
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Parma

Atalanta
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history