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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.08.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
24.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Pisa

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
1 : 1
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Pisa August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.62 / 2 7.12
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 66.1% / X 20.6% / Pisa 13.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 66.1%
X 20.6%
2 13.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.0%
Under 2.5 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Pisa

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.15 market consensus · line only
X 4.62 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.40 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
X 4.64 21.6%
7.58 13.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.70 21.3% 4.89 20.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
6.40 15.6% 7.20 13.9% 6.80 14.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.70 13.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.01 49.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.62 38.2% 2.82 35.5% 2.78 36.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Atalanta
L W W W D
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 ParmaParma
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 GenoaGenoa
12.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
04.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:0 Monza
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 LecceLecce
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Pisa

Atalanta
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history