AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~64% confidence High best odds 1.48

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
0 : 3
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Atalanta take on Sassuolo on November 9, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atalanta 0-4-1, Sassuolo 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Atalanta the favourite at about 64%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Sassuolo November 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.47 / 2 6.61
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 64.3% / X 21.3% / Sassuolo 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 14 books · best price +3.7%
1 64.5%
X 21.2%
2 14.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Market 1 64.3% @ 1.48 / X 21.3% @ 4.47 / 2 14.4% @ 6.61
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Match center

Atalanta - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.64 market consensus · line only
X 4.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.35 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.38 22.8%
7.02 14.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5% 4.70 21.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
7.20 13.9% 6.10 16.4% 6.60 15.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.67 37.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Atalanta
L D D D D
01.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 UdinezeUdineze
28.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 MilanMilan
25.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
19.10 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:0 LatsioLatsio
04.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 KomoKomo
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Sassuolo
L W L D W
03.11 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 1:2 DzhenoaDzhenoa
30.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 2:1 KalyariKalyari
26.10 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 0:1 RomaRoma
18.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 0:0 LechcheLechche
03.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Sassuolo 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Atalanta - Sassuolo

Atalanta
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Atalanta vs Sassuolo start?

November 9, 2025.