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Serie A
Serie A Italy
10.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Torino

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 : 0
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Torino January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 3.72 / 2 6.56
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 59.7% / X 25.7% / Torino 14.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 59.7%
X 25.7%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 46.1%
Under 2.5 53.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.61 62.1%
X 3.73 26.8%
6.97 14.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.54 64.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.66 60.2% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8%
7.10 14.1% 6.80 14.7% 6.70 14.9% 6.50 15.4% 6.70 14.9% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.92 52.1%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.17 46.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.46 40.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Atalanta
W W L W W
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 BolognaBologna
03.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:1 InterInter
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 GenoaGenoa
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 CagliariCagliari
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Torino
L W L W W
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 UdineseUdinese
04.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 CagliariCagliari
21.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Torino

Atalanta
1 matches total
Torino
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torino: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Atalanta 3:0 (21.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 21.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta
3:0
Torino