Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - AC Milan

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 3
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - AC Milan February 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.02 / X 3.15 / 2 2.49
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 31.5% / X 30.2% / AC Milan 38.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 31.5%
X 30.2%
2 38.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 3.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.06 32.7%
X 3.21 31.2%
2.57 38.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.94 34.0% 2.99 33.4% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.48 40.3% 2.53 39.5% 2.59 38.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Bologna
L L W D L
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 GenoaGenoa
18.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 ComoComo
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
AC Milan
D W W D D
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 LecceLecce
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:1 ComoComo
11.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - AC Milan

Bologna
2 matches total
AC Milan
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AC Milan: 2 (100%)
Biggest win AC Milan 1:3 (09.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 09.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna
0:1
AC Milan
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:3
AC Milan