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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 2
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Hellas Verona March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.68 / 2 5.64
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 57.2% / X 25.8% / Hellas Verona 16.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 57.3%
X 25.8%
2 16.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.98 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
X 3.82 26.2%
5.90 17.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%
5.40 18.5% 6.00 16.7% 5.93 16.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Bologna
W W W L L
02.03 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 PisaPisa
23.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 UdineseUdinese
15.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 TorinoTorino
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 ParmaParma
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Hellas Verona
L L L D L
28.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 NapoliNapoli
20.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 SassuoloSassuolo
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 ParmaParma
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 PisaPisa
31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 CagliariCagliari
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Hellas Verona

Bologna
1 matches total
Hellas Verona
Bologna: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bologna 3:2 (15.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 15.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna
3:2
Hellas Verona