Bologna 0:2 Lazio result — March 22, 2026

Match center

Bologna - Lazio

Bologna: win 2.40 Bologna: draw 3.09 Lazio win: 3.47 Obschiy Total goals bolshe 2.5: 2.23 Obschiy Total goals menshe 2.5: 1.71 Individualnyy Total goals Bologna bolshe 1.5: 2.52 Individualnyy Total goals Bologna menshe 1.5: 1.56 Individualnyy Total goals Lazio bolshe 0.5: …

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 13

Statistics 24

Lineups 92

min Event Player Team

26' 26' Substitution 1 | Mario Gila | assist/sub out: O. Provstgaard Mario Gila Lazio

46' 46' Substitution 2 | Pedro | assist/sub out: Tijjani Noslin Pedro Lazio

61' 61' Substitution 6 | G. Isaksen | assist/sub out: Matteo Cancellieri G. Isaksen Lazio

62' 62' Substitution 3 | R. Orsolini | assist/sub out: Benjamín Domínguez R. Orsolini Bologna

62' 62' Substitution 7 | Daniel Maldini | assist/sub out: B. Dia Daniel Maldini Lazio

62' 62' Substitution 2 | J. Rowe | assist/sub out: N. Cambiaghi J. Rowe Bologna

65' 65' Yellow Card | Santiago Castro S. Castro Bologna

72' 72' Normal Goal | K. Taylor K. Taylor Lazio

Metric Bologna Lazio SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.47 1.7 final

Zablokirovannye udary 2 3 final

Shots off target 9 1 final

Shots on target 4 5 final

Udary vsego 15 9 final

Fouls soversheno 13 8 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final

Offsides 3 1 final

Bologna #4 Patric, #7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, #9 Pedro, #13 Alessio Romagnoli, #17 N. Tavares, #18 G. Isaksen, #24 K. Taylor, #27 Daniel Maldini, #34 Mario Gila, #40 E. Motta, #77 A. Marusic

Lazio #6 N. Moro, #7 R. Orsolini, #9 S. Castro, #10 F. Bernardeschi, #11 J. Rowe, #13 F. Ravaglia, #14 T. Heggem, #20 N. Zortea, #23 S. Sohm, #33 Juan Miranda, #41 M. Vitík

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Marusic Bologna Dribling popytki 3

A. Marusic Bologna Dribling uspeshno 1

A. Marusic Bologna Edinoborstva vsego 2

A. Marusic Bologna Edinoborstva vyigrano 5

A. Marusic Bologna Fouls soversheno 1

A. Marusic Bologna Fouls na igroke 1

A. Marusic Bologna Seyvy 0

A. Marusic Bologna Tochnost pasov % 1

A. Marusic Bologna Klyuchevye pasy 55

A. Marusic Bologna Pasy vsego 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Bologna 40.2% 42.3% market and model agree

Draw 31.4% 29.3% draw risk

Lazio 28.4% 28.4%

xG - 1.20 : 0.93

Total 2.5 Over 40.2% - Under 59.8%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 42.3% / 29.3% / 28.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,523 / 1,535 Bologna / Lazio

RD 74 / 74 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.30 market consensus · no value · model 28.4%

X 3.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.39 market consensus · no value · model 42.3%

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 57.7%

12 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 70.7%

1X 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 71.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.17 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · no value · model 40.2%

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 59.8%

Both teams to score

No 1.91 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.34 42.7%
X	3.04 32.9%
	3.62 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.32 43.1%	2.36 42.4%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.14 31.9%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.95 33.9%
	3.25 30.8%	3.35 29.9%	3.46 28.9%	3.00 33.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	1.90 52.6%	1.99 50.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%