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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
07.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - AS Roma

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
1 : 0
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - AS Roma December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.83 / X 3.63 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 16.3% / X 26.2% / AS Roma 57.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 16.3%
X 26.2%
2 57.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 5.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 2.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.30 15.9%
X 3.70 27.0%
1.65 60.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.80 17.2% 6.30 15.9% 5.88 17.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 5.80 17.2%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.78 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.26 44.3%
Match center
Cagliari
L D D L L
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 JuventusJuventus
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:3 GenoaGenoa
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 ComoComo
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LazioLazio
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
AS Roma
L W W L W
30.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 NapoliNapoli
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 CremoneseCremonese
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 UdineseUdinese
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 ParmaParma
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - AS Roma

Cagliari
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history