Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Bologna

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
0 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Cagliari face Bologna on October 19, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cagliari 2-1-2, Bologna 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Bologna, an implied 46% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Bologna October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.82 / X 3.24 / 2 2.09
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 25.0% / X 29.5% / Bologna 45.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 25.0%
X 29.4%
2 45.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 25.0% @ 3.82 / X 29.4% @ 3.24 / 2 45.6% @ 2.09
Match center

Cagliari - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.76 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.07 24.6%
X 3.20 31.3%
2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.86 25.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.52 28.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3%
2.08 48.1% 2.09 47.9% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%
Match center
Cagliari
D L W W L
05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 InterInter
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 LecceLecce
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:0 ParmaParma
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Bologna
W D W L W
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 4:0 PisaPisa
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 LecceLecce
20.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 GenoaGenoa
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 ComoComo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Bologna

Cagliari
1 matches total
Bologna
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bologna: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bologna 0:2 (29.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 29.10 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
0:2
Bologna