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Serie A Italy

24.08.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

24.08.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Cagliari - Fiorentina

Italy Football

Cagliari

1 : 1

Finished

Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Fiorentina August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.26 / X 3.14 / 2 2.33
1X2 market: Cagliari 29.1% / X 30.2% / Fiorentina 40.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 29.1%

X 30.2%

2 40.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 41.5%

Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.08.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Cagliari - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.34 market consensus · line only

X 3.14 market consensus · line only

1 3.26 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.34 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.62 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.82 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.81 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.25 30.8%
X	3.21 31.2%
	2.45 40.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.30 30.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.28 30.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.15 31.8%
	2.24 44.6%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.89 52.9%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%	1.94 51.6%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.37 73.0%
home_draw	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.63 61.4%

Match center

Cagliari

L W L L W

23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Napoli

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:0 Venezia

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:3 Como

03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:2 Udinese

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 2:0 Hellas Verona

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Fiorentina

W W L L W

25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 3:2 Udinese

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 3:2 Bologna

12.05 16:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:2 Venezia

04.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:1 AS Roma

27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:1 Empoli

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Fiorentina

Cagliari

1 matches total

Fiorentina

Cagliari: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fiorentina: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Fiorentina 1:2 (23.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 23.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.04 16:30 UTC

Serie A

Cagliari

1:2

Fiorentina