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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
22.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Genoa

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
3 : 3
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Genoa November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.09 / X 2.80 / 2 2.70
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 30.8% / X 34.0% / Genoa 35.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 30.8%
X 34.0%
2 35.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 31.7%
Under 2.5 68.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 market consensus · line only
X 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 3.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.24 30.9%
X 2.84 35.2%
2.73 36.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
X 2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.77 36.1%
2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.82 35.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.39 41.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Cagliari
D L L D L
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 ComoComo
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LazioLazio
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Genoa
D W L L D
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 TorinoTorino
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Genoa

Cagliari
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history