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Serie A
Serie A Italy
31.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
4 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Hellas Verona January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 2.99 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 43.8% / X 31.8% / Hellas Verona 24.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 43.8%
X 31.8%
2 24.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 38.0%
Under 2.5 62.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.91 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.23 44.8%
X 3.04 32.9%
4.00 25.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.12 47.2% 2.17 46.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.01 24.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Cagliari
W W L D L
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 JuventusJuventus
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:3 GenoaGenoa
08.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 CremoneseCremonese
02.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Hellas Verona
L D L L D
26.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:3 UdineseUdinese
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 BolognaBologna
11.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 LazioLazio
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:2 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Hellas Verona

Cagliari
2 matches total
Hellas Verona
Cagliari: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Cagliari 2:0 (28.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 26.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (26.10 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
2:2
Hellas Verona
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
2:0
Hellas Verona