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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
15.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - AC Milan

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 3
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - AC Milan January 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.14 / X 3.17 / 2 2.39
  • 1X2 market: Como 30.3% / X 30.0% / AC Milan 39.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 30.3%
X 30.0%
2 39.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Como - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.39 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 3.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.28 30.5%
X 3.26 30.7%
2.41 41.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.36 42.4% 2.36 42.4% 2.47 40.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Como
D W W W L
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 BolognaBologna
06.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 PisaPisa
03.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 UdineseUdinese
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 LecceLecce
15.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
AC Milan
D D W W D
11.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 GenoaGenoa
02.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 CagliariCagliari
28.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
14.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 SassuoloSassuolo
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - AC Milan

Como
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history