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Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
14.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Fiorentina

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 2
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Fiorentina February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.99 / 2 5.09
  • 1X2 market: Como 57.5% / X 23.8% / Fiorentina 18.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 57.5%
X 23.8%
2 18.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 55.3%
Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.67 59.9%
X 4.05 24.7%
5.30 18.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.15 24.1% 4.19 23.9% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%
4.90 20.4% 5.10 19.6% 5.32 18.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Como
D W W L D
01.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
24.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 6:0 TorinoTorino
19.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 LazioLazio
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Fiorentina
D L L W D
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 TorinoTorino
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 NapoliNapoli
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 CagliariCagliari
18.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 BolognaBologna
11.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Fiorentina

Como
1 matches total
Fiorentina
Como: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fiorentina: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Como 2:1 (21.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 21.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como
2:1
Fiorentina