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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Lazio

Italy Football
Como
Como
2 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Lazio August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.30 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: Como 39.6% / X 28.7% / Lazio 31.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 39.7%
X 28.7%
2 31.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Como - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.31 market consensus · line only
1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.98 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.38 29.6%
3.15 31.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.42 41.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.92 34.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Como
L D W W W
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:2 InterInter
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 CagliariCagliari
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 ParmaParma
27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 GenoaGenoa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Lazio
L D D W D
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 LecceLecce
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 InterInter
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 JuventusJuventus
04.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Empoli
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 ParmaParma
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Lazio

Como
1 matches total
Lazio
Como: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lazio 1:5 (31.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 31.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como
1:5
Lazio